Memorandum from Dr P R Marchant
I am a qualified statistician. I work in the
Centre for Research and Graduate Studies at Leeds Metropolitan
University. I am also interested in astronomy.
Light pollution seems to be regarded as something
of a necessary evil as it is believed that exterior lighting is
needed to combat crime. This crime prevention effect of lighting
is made much of. It would appear from Home Office Research Study
251 "Effects of improved street lighting on crime: a systematic
review" that there is good evidence that lighting does prevent
crime. However, I have examined this research in some detail in
a paper that I have recently submitted to the Royal Statistical
Society for publication. I believe, you would find my examination
relevant to your investigations. My conclusion is that Home Office
Research Study 251 is deeply flawed and also contains numerous
shortcomings. The true situation seems to be that in spite of
years of investment in exterior lighting there is no good evidence
that lighting prevents crime. (Indeed, some might argue that lighting
increases crime: as post-World War II crime has risen along with
the burgeoning of exterior lighting.)
As guidance tends to be given that lighting
is necessary to guard against crime I ask you to examine this
issue. The evidence showing no proven crime prevention benefits
for lighting, in spite of claims to the contrary, weakens the
justification for introducing exterior lighting.
I have included a short piece in my submission,
which hopefully demonstrates without requiring much statistical
knowledge some of the errors of Research Study 251, and problems
with the research in lighting and crime.
There may be good reasons to have appropriately
restrained lighting at night but as a weapon against crime is
not one of them, in spite of research and some unsubstantiated
claims.
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