Conclusions and recommendations
1. In 2007, the estimated undiscounted cost
of decommissioning civil nuclear sites reached the enormous sum
of £61 billion, yet despite many attempts at estimation this
figure is likely to rise even further. It
has been all too easy for successive governments and the industry
to push these costs onto future taxpayers. The Nuclear Decommissioning
Authority is now faced with trying to get to grips with the legacy
of this repeated deferral and the massive challenge of cleaning
up these sites which contain waste, the exact nature of which
is not known in some cases.
2. Between 2005 and 2007, estimates of decommissioning
costs expected to be incurred by sites between April 2008 to March
2013 rose by 41%. Uncertainty around costs
far into the future is understandable. But uncertainty over the
escalating costs of work due to be carried out imminently is difficult
to justify. The Nuclear Decommissioning Authority should publish
alongside any future estimates the likely range within which future
costs may fall.
3. With this track record of rising costs
it is surprising that the Authority only reviews the process of
estimating decommissioning costs by its site licensees, but not
the details of costs themselves. The Authority
has procedures to ensure estimates are prepared on a consistent
basis across its sites, but needs to put in place better arrangements
for challenging the underlying cost estimates themselves, for
example, by taking forward its plan to commission a validation
of site estimates.
4. It is even more surprising that, in 2006-07,
around a third of the Authority's expenditure on its sites went
to meet support costs. Site support costs,
including engineering support, human resources and procurement
services, amounted to £826 million. The Authority should
benchmark support costs between sites and encourage greater use
of shared services to deliver efficiency savings. It should also
expect bidders for future contracts to achieve efficiencies in
support services.
5. Changes made by the Authority at short
notice to some sites' planned programmes have increased costs
to the taxpayer. As a result of changes
to decommissioning plans, the Authority has had to provide £31.6
million to its sites to cover the costs of early contract closure,
as well as staff training and redundancy. The Department, working
with the Authority and HM Treasury, should examine the arrangements
for planning and resourcing the Authority's work. Improved arrangements
could include making better use of year-on-year flexibility and
building reserves to provide a buffer against unexpected demands.
6. There are significant variations in performance
across the sites being decommissioned. Working
with the new parent bodies, the Authority should identify further
ways of strengthening the supply chain for decommissioning work,
for example by helping to train people and develop the required
skills. The Authority should use the parent body competitions
to sharpen the commercial incentives in its contracts and drive
efficiency improvements.
7. The Authority's charges for reprocessing
nuclear fuel may have included inadequate allowance for the cost
of decommissioning the related facility. When
agreeing new contracts, the Authority should ensure that, at a
minimum, charges are sufficient to provide a contribution to the
estimated decommissioning costs of facilities and, where possible,
cover the full cost it is likely to incur in delivering the service.
8. The Department is unable to provide complete
assurance that the costs of decommissioning new nuclear power
stations will not fall back on future taxpayers. The
Department should ensure that there are robust arrangements to
ensure that operators of new stations make adequate provision.
The level of contribution made by operators to the independent
decommissioning funds should be based on prudent estimates that
should be updated regularly. The Department must also learn the
lessons of British Energy by ensuring that it regularly monitors
risks to taxpayers. Before giving the go-ahead to new sites, the
Department should be confident that operators can make arrangements
to meet all future decommissioning costs.
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